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EDS' Next Big Thing Blog: Read and Respond to What the EDS Fellows Say About Technology

Read and respond to what the EDS Fellows have to say about the future of technology on EDS' Next Big Thing Blog on eds.com.

Will India be still viable option for IT Outsourcing in 10+ years?

by Ben Patel

India's Information Technology (IT) industry has flourished well since Y2K, with the demand for IT resources in India increasing exponentially over last 8+ years. Remember the time when you could get the services of three or more IT professionals for the cost of one IT professional in the US? Well, that time is over - companies have noticed a considerable change over the last 5 years:

  • Jim Olsen's presentation "The Hard Truth about Offshore Testing" at the StarWest 2007 conference stated  "Over last five years, salaries for experienced IT professionals in India has increased 12-20% per year where as the salaries of the experience IT professional in the US has increased 3-5%"
  • Over the last 5 years, the value of US dollar has gone done by 20%. You could get Rs. 47.5 Indian Rupees in January 2003 Vs the Rs. 39.5 Indian Rupees you get in January 2008.
  • With increased costs and the unfavorable exchange rate, you could maybe utilize two or less IT professionals for the cost of one IT professional in the US.
  • Attrition rate for experienced IT professionals in India has increased over 15% or more. There are many cases where you start a project with 10+ members on the team, and at the end of the six months, you have a completely new team!

What happens if India's IT Professional Salaries continue to go up 12-20% compounded per year? What happens if the attrition rate continues to rise?

If these trends continue, work will move from India to other similar low cost countries like Egypt, and China. Is India ready to woes of unemployment like the US?  Are there similar trends for other countries like Brazil and Argentina?

Published Monday, April 07, 2008 1:45 PM
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Comments

# Posted by Tom Wednesday, April 09, 2008 1:31 AM

I've heard a few stories about complanies moving back offshore, Virgin had problems in that the people taking flight bookings had no real knowledge of the places they were booking for... and this morning Amex have announced they're relocating 150 jobs back to Melbourne and Sydney

# Posted by Vivek Wednesday, April 09, 2008 3:39 AM

Answer: YES

Why: 1. IT to become more complex and will need more experienced resources , India after 10 years will still have the most experienced resources.

2. India will move up the ladder from pure play pure services model to may be pure integrator, and also innovator.

3. India itself will become one of the key markets for IT driving traffic INTO and hence driving services OUT.

4. Salaries , turnover etc will rationalize as industry matures further, remember huge tax savings are on its way out ...which will force market consolidation and many tier 3-4 or even tier 2 to get consolidated...forcing stabalization in the work force turnover and salary issues.

India will remain the viable option but not the only option... for SURE...!!!

# Posted by A. N. Nanda Sunday, April 13, 2008 8:18 AM

There's a way out. So far our knowledge of English has helped us alongside our IT training. Now countries other than the English-speaking ones will need software professionals. So let them learn a 3rd or a fourth language, say like German and French etc.

Thanks

Nanda

http://ramblingnanda.blogspot.com

http://remixoforchid.blogspot.com

# Posted by Jack Monday, April 21, 2008 5:19 AM

Nope, we Australians will take over them.. !!

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